Technology: A win against racism

I try not to delve too much into the political arena my blog but this is a subject I have thought about many times in my career at Microsoft.  What spurred this on?  Unfortunately an old friend who has gone through a rough patch in life that has taken him down some dark and unfortunate roads.  One of those paths has led to an age-old ill in society as old as mankind.  The need to blame others for ones own failings, not based on rational thought but on skin color and religion.  It gave me pause to think about my internal beliefs and explore some of the thoughts I have had for some time about my life and the industry that I have been fortunate to work in. 

Make no mistake I am not naive enough to believe that racism does not exist in the technology space, as my title might suggest, nor are we necessarily better than other industries, but one thing I do know, in particular,  the technology industry craves strong technical talent.  It does not care about where you are from or what color your skin is, it just wants really smart people. Through my 18 years at Microsoft I do not know how many times I heard Bill Gates interviewed as to what he viewed as the key ingredient to Microsoft success and over and over again it was always the same answer, “We start by hiring really smart people”.  In the early days that really meant computer scientists, engineers etc…These were the people who were going to drive the company forward.  A great many came from India and later more and more would come from China (especially as Microsoft got aggressive in speech recognition and search)..But in reality it did not matter where you came from  and I met or heard people present from almost everywhere in the world.  The thing I liked best about Microsoft in the early days was it really was about open and passionate debate, from everything as big as the future of the PC to the more granular areas of what should happen with the ANSI C Standard.  If you had a passion and were smart enough to engage in the debate, race did not enter into the equation.  To paraphrase Martin Luther King, “we should judge people by the content of their character”.

The nice thing about Microsoft even when I started back in 1991 was that it really was a multi-cultural environment.  You would walk the halls and see and meet Sikhs, Muslims, Hindu’s, African-Americans, Chinese, Japanese etc.. The list would probably cover every country and religion on the globe.  The internal Global Address List (GAL) usually had an alias for everything – could be Indian’s at Microsoft or Germans at Microsoft. The company had events internally from time to time to highlight our diverse culture.  As the company grew Microsoft started opening research and development departments all over the world, most notably in India and China.  There was so much talent coming to the surface on the planet you had to go where the talent pool was.

I do not believe this is at all unique to Microsoft.  When I visited customers like Cisco Systems they seemed to have a whole lunch menu catered towards their large contingent of Indian engineers.  When I did their yearly vendor event called Toolapalooza, most people I interacted with were not born in the US.  If you remember the dotcom boom how many start-ups were either led by or had on staff a significant amount of people not of american birth?  Did anybody really care?  In those days the only question was what are you doing and how will you make money. 

To date the technology sector has represented the best and brightest from around the globe.  In the end the industry will continue to become a more and more ethically diverse as the need for talent in an increasingly competitive environment grows.  This challenge will bring us all closer together as we jointly try to solve the next great technical challenge.  We will need the collective input great minds, regardless of race or creed. It will require us to put differences aside and to listen to one another.  It’s a challenge that those in  the industry will meet.  In the broader sense in the end it’s a challenge our society has to meet or otherwise we all fail.  I leave you with the words of the author H.G. Wells, “Civilization is a race between education and catastrophe”.

Good Night and Good Luck

Hans Henrik Hoffmann June 17, 2010

Microsoft TV – A look back and a look ahead

Early on in my career at Microsoft a battle opened up between Oracle and Microsoft over who was going to deliver on-demand TV.  The idea being that the customer could control their viewing experience and see the content they wanted delivered when they wanted it. Microsoft started up a project code-named “Tiger” to deliver this new service.  It would launch the start of a new era of something that has since seemed destined to failure within Microsoft, but not before a lot of optimism along the way. 

At this time in the industry the internet was not in play and the idea of IP delivered services through digital content was still a long way from reality.  The early tests were humorous from what I heard through the grapevine.  It literally was a customer made a request (not sure how) and someone in a back room a person found the video, ran it to the VCR and hit play.  Anyone ever see the movie, “Broadcast News“? .  Around this time Microsoft CTO Nathan Myhrvold was espousing the next big thing in computing which was going to be interactive TV.  He was not on board with the whole internet wave at the time.  In his defense interactive TV is happening and will continue to morph in the coming years, but the internet will be a huge part of the equation. The interesting thing at this time was this was really a “verbal” battle between Oracle and Microsoft as to whose database was going to store and deliver all the content.  At the time Oracle’s database technology was way ahead of Microsoft, so upon reflection it was probably a good thing for Microsoft the internet came along to help settle or at least delay the debate so Microsoft could catch up.

As the internet began to take hold it was apparent that the idea of Digital TV and user self-determination was only going to get stronger.  There were numerous “small” victories along the way for Microsoft TV.   In 1999, and as was typical during that time, Microsoft invested to take a small  equity stake in Portugal Telecom, because you had to pay to play.  A big press release was done with Steve Ballmer to highlight this huge win for Microsoft TV.  It was around this time at the yearly Microsoft Global Sales Summit I heard from the Microsoft TV Product Group.  The presentation was done by a young program manager named Alan Yates.  He followed the Windows Mobile presenter.  He was a talented presenter and I remember he started with a question, “How many of you own mobile phones?” About 90% of the hands went up (this was 1999).  Then he asked “How many of you own TV’s?”.  The crowd laughed as everyone’s hands went up.  He then proceeded to talk about Microsoft’s plans and the future potential of interactive/digital television.  The future potential of a new market is an easy way to get people excited about a green future, I am talking dollars not the environment.  Microsoft people really gravitated towards future potential.  In those days any future potential in technology was believed to be Microsoft’s market to own.  Based on our track record at the time it was a sure bet we would succeed.  It was our birth right.

Fast forward to 2005 and a new strategic direction in Microsoft TV land.  Microsoft and AT&T signed an agreement to deliver uVerse, which is AT&T’s entry into digital TV based on Microsoft’s IP TV technology.  I saw some initial demo’s several years ago at the Microsoft company meeting.  They did a demo using baseball as an example.  Being a big sports fan I could relate.  They had a game on and up at the top they had three smaller windows.  When something big happened in the game I was not focused on I could at the click of a remote control button (you can do all sorts of things with technology, but take a man’s remote away he is no longer a man), I could bring that particular game into the main screen and demote the game I am watching to a small pane.  It was paradise.  There has been a lot of work done with AT&T since the announcement and Microsoft is getting money from AT&T through the deal.  However as far as I can tell the service is still not available in many areas.  It’s not available in mine.  To be fair the challenge is not Microsoft’s alone.  The Telco providers are still learning this business and beyond the technology there are a lot of relationships with content providers (Disney, Time -Warner, News Corp etc..) that need to be managed.  All this being said though there are other deals for IPTV a vast majority of Microsoft’s eggs are in this one basket.  As ATT goes so will Microsoft TV.

With the recent announcement by Google of a joint pact with Sony and Intel, the idea of digital TV and user self-determination may be poised to take a huge step forward.  After a trip abroad I am increasingly of the belief that Google’s acquisition of YouTube will pay huge dividends for Google as digital TV becomes universal.  By universal I mean that Television programming will not only be more under the control of the end-user, but will be accessible from a multitude of devices not connected to your living room.  Today you YouTube experience is pretty much everywhere but your living room.  Google is big on the media and publishing space and I am sure will leverage those relationships to further their quest into ad revenue through media content, not just search.  It is a challenge for Microsoft in that the Microsoft historical view is we will create this great technology and then partners will deliver great solutions.  What you are seeing in the industry are companies who take technology to leverage existing relationships.  A good example is the Amazon Kindle.  Amazon had relationships with all the publishers so they struck deals to deliver content to the device.  Microsoft had “reader” technology ten years ago which they never were able to monetize.  Microsoft wanted partners to create the next great technology trend using Microsoft’s technology.  It’s early and I can only guess at what Google will eventually try to do, but if they can get ad revenues from an internet TV service that would be another huge  revenue source.

Looking forward Microsoft has developed a strategy they call the three screens approach.  The three screens being the PC, television and mobile phone.  On Microsoft’s part this represents some really good thinking, and if you think about what Google is doing they are more or less following this vision.  Now the real focal point will be on execution.  There are certainly big challenges in the way.  For Microsoft it starts with mobile.  I recently chatted with an old friend in silicon valley and he said as far as mobile development goes in the valley, Windows Mobile is non-existent.  In addition to ATT uVerse the launch of Windows Phone 7 has to develop excitement.  If it falls and Microsoft has to wait until the next release the industry will have moved on and they will be too late.  Another area that will be interesting to follow is Apple and their TV initiatives.  Apple has released products for the TV space, and though the initial reviews of Apple TV were middle to not so good, given Apple’s hot hand, fanatical community, and great ability to generate “buzz” via sales and marketing it will be interesting to see if they come back with a stronger offering to start tying the three screens together.  They have been successful with the desktop, over the top with the mobile phone and now just have one screen to go with a browser to tie ut all together. 

Given the start stop history of Microsoft TV the next few years will be critical to see if it has a future.  The IPTV solution cannot fail.  If Microsoft had to change strategic and technology directions the window of opportunity may pass. In technology waves come and go.  If you catch a wave and can ride the crest success will not be far behind.  However if you are slow and are late when the wave crashes you will be pulled under and thrashed about trying to come back up for air.

Good Night and Good Luck

Hans Henrik Hoffmann June 10, 2010

The Death of the Operating System

I am sure a lot of my former Microsoft colleagues will look on this title with horror and possibly even shame and anger towards Hans Hoffmann.  Everything Microsoft has accomplished over its 30+ years existence can be traced back to the vision and success of the Windows Operating System.  On top of this  all Microsoft has just released the best operating system in its history, Windows 7.  The most recent Microsoft earnings reports, though dismal on some front, shows that Windows 7 has been a huge success.  I will be forthright, I run Windows 7 and it is rock solid.  I have been a very happy user of the OS, but it has raised some questions in my mind.  In particular the role that the operating system will play in our lives moving forward.

I guess the first question I had when I finished booting my Windows 7 operating system was how simple the user interface was, there was not much there.   It did however offer quick access to the browser.   There are some cool features, like when I hover over the browser it shows me all the windows that are currently open.  But in the end it was very basic, the user interface was not very busy.  In fact I would say it was very clean. For many years some of the most valuable real  estate in the PC industry was the Windows User Interface.  Because no matter what you wanted to do on your PC you had to launch Windows first.

There had been many efforts to try to drive revenue by leveraging the Windows UI.  After the launch of Windows 95 and the birth of the web, it was felt that Microsoft needed to have an offering for ISP’s where they could put their logo on the Windows UI and customers then could sign up for their online offering.  Microsoft would then get a fee for every user that signed into the ISP’s monthly service.  The initial ISP’s selected were AOL, Earthlink and Prodigy.    For a while in my career at Microsoft I managed the Prodigy relationship, with the primary responsibility of collecting the money.  They paid us about $600k per year, not bad revenue.  Later on with Vista there would be the ill-fated attempt at gadgets.  A memory hog and not something I was going to pay for.  This has all changed in today’s world as most users boot a OS and launch right into the browser.  The most valuable real estate today is on the web, not the desktop.  The desktop more or less is a system I boot to get to my browser.

This brings us back to the simplicity of Windows 7. The competition is taking notice and trying to restructure the playing field and doing in at different levels.  At the base level (or consumer level) we have what Google is trying to do with Chrome.  And at the enterprise level you have two things occurring, virtualization and what VMWare is pursuing and then the cloud efforts which pretty much everyone is doing.

For over three decades now the world of the personal computer has played by the same rules.  You have a microprocessor, a basic input output system (BIOS) and an operating system that handles the interaction between software and hardware.  Every 3-4 years we either buy a new PC with a new OS or just buy the software and upgrade the existing OS.  Certain technical limitations have facilitated that model, however that model is under threat with increasingly powerful hardware now providing the mainframe of yesteryear now in a small laptop and allowing us to be where we want to be. In addition the power of the web seems to grow exponentially every year.

Things are changing in the industry towards this traditional view of computing.  In a recent interview on CNet, former Microsoft GM and now Google VP, Vic Gudotra talked about his time at Microsoft and the belief during those days that there were certain things that only the PC could do and that the web would not be able to replicate.  In particular he mentioned a partner, KeyHole which had created a cool PC based app that was a prime example of an application that could exist only on the desktop.   Not long after KeyHole was acquired by Google.  Today that application is known as Google Earth.  The main point, which I agree with is never underestimate what can be done on the web.

When I think what VMware is doing with virtualization and the cloud it’s hard not to think back to Microsoft’s introduction of .NET.  One of the key architects and brains behind .NET was then Group President, Paul Maritz.  In an industry trade rag article written around that time it was suggested that Microsoft was trying to decouple the .NET framework from the underlying OS thus reducing the dependency of the Windows operating system.  I can not validate the truth of this, I was not in the room when those types of discussions took place, but it would make sense for Microsoft to look towards the future and discuss the role of the operating system of the future.  This much I do know is if those discussions took place Paul Maritz would have been involved and a primary driver of any strategic and technical thought process.  Today Paul Maritz is CEO of VMWare.  Look at what they are doing and do the math.

The Microsoft OEM channel is not immune to these changes either as some of the major Microsoft partners are starting to experiment with OS’ that are not Windows.  This is not a new phenomena, as during the dotcom revolution Dell toyed with OEM versions of Linux, but eventually dropped as a desktop OS.  However the world has changed very quickly on the last 10 years.  The net is no longer new but an established part of our everyday life and available everywhere in the world.  The world of mobile computing has taken off as Laptops are cheap and replacing the traditional home computer.  All schools in the US have some type of laptop program for students.  The thin device called a netbook has found place for many users in daily life.  Finally mobile computing within the phone has increased drastically, in large part due to the iPhone phenomena.  Recently HP acquired Palm, which has its own Mobile OS, which I am sure could be extended to a Tablet.  Acer is also in the process  of launching a Netbook based on Google’s Android OS.  Given the rise of Android as a mobile computing platform I think the chances of success are pretty good this time around.

Another issue is the rise of office productivity applications, that are not Microsoft Office.  One of the key drivers for the success of Windows has been the success and innovation that has been a cornerstone of the Microsoft Office Platform.  Though not universal yet it is not uncommon these days to find PC’s running OpenOffice or Google Docs.  These applications are tightly aligned with the browser and can run across multiple platforms, thus rendering the underlying OS not as relevant.  Though still a small percentage of the overall market they are gaining traction.  Even if they only got 10% of the market in the next 3 years it would be a significant financial blow to Microsoft.

Part of the dilemma in this rapidly advancing world of technology for Microsoft is how do you embrace this new world without cannibalizing $20 billion in revenue?  I think in general that is the challenge for any company with a large cash cow.  In technology when change starts to happen it happens with tremendous velocity and cannot be contained.  It is the nature of the industry and also what makes the tech sector one of the most exciting places to work.  The impact of technology is felt in everyday life and in every industry.  For many years Microsoft was able to see these changes and envision where it would play when those changes took place, of course Microsoft’s place in those tidal shifts was at the top of the industry.  We are now at a shift which could fundamentally alter how traditional computing has been viewed.  It will affect what we purchase, where we purchase and whom we purchase from.  If the operating systems as we know it starts to lose value as other alternatives become available, what then for Microsoft?  With tremendous change comes tremendous opportunity, but when something is so core to your identity it is hard to make the change as it is as much cultural as financial.    The risk of course is the tremendous opportunity will happen it will just go elsewhere.  As I said earlier the computing model for the operating system has not changed a whole lot in 30 years, but today that transition is happening off of the PC operating system.  What was once the sole domain of the PC is now part of the universal domain of the web.  It’s been a great ride but now it’s on to the future, may the desktop OS rest in peace.

Good Night and Good Luck

Hans Henrik Hoffmann June, 1 2010

The rise and fall of SUN Microsystems

As I am traveling abroad right now I thought I would edit and re-issue one of my more popular earlier blogs and one I enjoyed writing.  The edits are of the George Lucas type in nature but since it was one of my early blogs it was in need of some updating.  Enjoy and stay tuned for next weeks topic.

The competitive landscape was always changing and dynamic and with Microsoft always looking to move up the food chain and getting very focused on trying to crack the enterprise.   It was inevitable we would start encroaching on existing companies territories. It was also likely that some of these companies might be young companies like Microsoft who could be innovative. One of the brightest and certainly most vocal competitors Microsoft faced was SUN Microsystems. They were led by the ever vocal and brash Scott McNeely.  Scott never ever missed a chance on stage or in the press to bash Microsoft.  It made for great entertainment.

The history of SUN was a interesting one. The name stood for Stanford University Network. Originally the building complex they were in, housed two other companies Silicon Graphics (SGI) and a company called Cisco. All three companies can lay claim today as Silicon Valley legends. Scott was with a group of techies and when they chose roles he became President because he was a business guy and frankly did not know a whole lot about technology. I actually admired this as it reminds me of myself when I started in the  industry.  Check the archives of “60 Minutes” if you want to verify. It was an interesting interview. Coincidently he was a Detroit guy like Steve Ballmer.  The love ended there.

I was always impressed with SUN as they made hardware, but beyond hardware, they designed the chip (SUN Sparc), the Operating System (SUN Solaris) and then manufactured the boxes. This was in contrast to Microsoft which had a philosophy – you either made hardware or software, but you did not do both. They also had some very smart people who qualify as Tech Legends. Bill Joy was the CTO and a software guy at a hardware company. At Berkley he had written a OS called BSD. A forerunner to Linux and I believe something Linus Torvalds and company learned from, in particular what not to do. James Gosling a key player in architecting Java and Eric Schmidt, who went on help some start up called Google.

For some of you reading this post who are not as technical you may ask what is Java? To put it basically it’s a programming language. So people who wrote applications for a living had the option to choose Java as the language they want to write in. But why? Well this is where it gets interesting. For this of you have followed my blog, if you remember my blog on Novell I discussed their failed effort to unify Unix. Novell had the right idea, just the wrong approach. SUN had a different approach. I probably heard this summarized best at a Microsoft technology event by Corporate VP Paul Flessner. SUN was following what Microsoft was doing with Windows NT Server and realized that with the marriage of File and Print services and application services Microsoft had a winning formula for developers. At the time Unix developers chose whether they wanted to write apps for IBM AIX, SUN Solaris, HP UX, to name just a few. So SUN came up with the Java Virtual Machine (JVM) and said write to the JVM and then it will support and take care of the underlying OS. So whether you were running Windows, HP UX, AIX Solaris etc..if you wrote to the JVM your app would be supported (in theory). As Paul said, it was the smart thing to do. In the dev world the marriage of Java and the JVM is what we refer to as managed code. You do not have to worry about the underlying OS as much since the JVM handles everything (in theory).

As SUN gained popularity and Java really went crazy in the enterprise another thing took place, the dotcom boom. Two things really happened in the dotcom bubble for SUN. The first being that a pivotal player in dotcom was the Telecommunications carriers. Anyone who followed the stock market at this point realized that the stock valuations globally of Telco’s really went through the roof at this time. To shed a little light on history here, AT&T Bell Labs created the UNIX operating Systems. The OS that runs the phone system we are all on today is predominantly UNIX based. As these carriers built out their networks – the developer problem they had was solved by what SUN was providing with Java. They also wanted the lowest cost UNIX system, which at the time SUN was lower priced then what other vendors like HP or IBM had to offer. The second thing that happened was this Telco evolution that was going on extended to all the Dotcom start ups. I spent a lot of time traveling to Silicon Valley in those days and all over the place were the SUN billboards, “Sun Microsystems the . in Dotcom”. During this period SUN was blowing away it’s quarterly earning’s every quarter.

During this rise to glory it was the first time Microsoft was starting to hear that we were evil. It was hard to take. It was not new, but in the past these types of evil jabs were from people in the industry. These new attacks seemed to resonate out to the general public. It became common at Microsoft to walk into an office and see a picture of Scott McNeely on the wall being used as a dart board. As I move forward on my blog I will come back to this area of perception, but these attacks really made a lot of Microsoft employees angry and they hurt.

Microsoft did respond and we came out with our own Java tool called J++ and started showing up at conferences. I had an opportunity at a Microsoft class once to hear then VP , now President of the Server & Tools Division, Bob Muglia talk about this. Bob was a short stout man with a high-pitched and squeaky voice. Bob said that Microsoft went to a conference for Java developers and not only showed up with our own IDE (Integrated Development Environment), but it was the best one at the event. SUN was quick to recognize what was going on. If we built our own empire of Java Developers we could start defining and taking ownership of the JVM. If we were leading the developers on how to write the JVM, well then Sun would be minimize.. Sun Microsystems did what all smart companies do, they filed a lawsuit.

During all this SUN had what they perceived as a big problem with Java. Make no mistake Java was huge in the industry. However SUN was not making any money on Java. They refused to hand it over to the standards bodies (which in my view would have been the smart thing to do). They also were more clueless about Open Source then Microsoft. I think they missed the point on this one. They did conferences for Java, but they really should have built a strong program around the developer community – once you have developers they can write applications to your platform (and others). They could have created a strong developer brand around Java. They would have owned the direction of the community. In the end SUN was so afraid of seeding any control of Java, that they did nothing. They were also a hardware company and they had a huge hit with software. Hardware is great for revenue, you can get really big numbers, because it is expensive to buy, but your margins are not that great. On the other side software is cheaper and you really need economies of scale to drive big revenue numbers. However software margins are huge, usually around 90% so Net Profits are great. The one thing I will say having sold developer tools for a number of years is as developer technologies progress prices usually fall. Making money on developer tools is not like Windows or Office, average growth is around 11.5%. SUN really needed to build a home run software application that ran on the JVM that they then could have market to the Enterprise masses, sadly that was just not in their DNA at the time.

As the dotcom boom died so did SUN Microsystems. The problem SUN had was that so much revenue was being generated by the dotcom boom that when it went bust all of SUN’s eggs were in one basket. It was surprising to see how much revenue was being generated for SUN by the telecommunications industry. Having called on the French based telecom equipment maker Alcatel, I knew that these accounts were large (if memory serves me correctly Alcatel was a $40 million a year account for SUN). A second thing that occurred was the rise of Linux. What was interesting was for all the Open Source Community talk of anything but Microsoft, Linux did not impact Windows, but it killed all the high-end high-priced UNIX OS’s. I love penguins. The biggest winner of all with Linux was IBM. Another story for another blog.

Sun Microsystems would exist for a long time afterward, but it never regained the voice it had in the industry . Most of the really brilliant people have left though a few remain. They recently completed the process of being acquired by Oracle. Too bad, they were an exciting company to follow, but in the world of the internet, empires rise and fall faster than ever seen before. Moving forward it’s only going to get faster.

Good Night and Good Luck,

Hans Hoffmann May 18, 2010

MSN: A confused history

Steve Ballmer was in Brazil last week at the University of Sao Paulo talking about the new release of Live Messenger, formerly MSN Messenger.  It has a new social networking focus, which I am sure is cool as everything Microsoft is doing lately for consumers has a social networking component.  It did get me to thinking about Windows Live and MSN and how it evolved while I was at Microsoft. When I look back at the legacy of the internet and how Microsoft responded one group always stands out to me: MSN.  It is an interesting journey.  The original MSN (Microsoft Network) debuted back in August of 1995.  It was to coincide with the release of Windows 95.  To put this all into perspective both MSN and Windows 95 were designed and released without the internet in mind.  To my younger readers, yes there was a world without the internet.   Since that time MSN has changed direction so many times it was even hard internally to keep track of what they were doing or where they were going. 

 The original MSN was built to compete with AOL and CompuServe.  These were what we called “walled garden” services.  What this meant was as a MSN or AOL partner I would sign up to deliver my services over their particular network.  When I went to AOL I got options for all sorts of things.  It could be “Mama’s cookie recipes'” or “Bob’s train collectible’s”, the point being these were only available to AOL subscribers.  When Microsoft in 1996 announced MSN 2.0 it was apparent right away the impact the Internet was having.  All these partners who had signed up for the walled garden approach came to Redmond and were told, the internet is the future and you are all on your own.

It was around 1999/2000 that the group I was in was briefly re-organized under MSN.  At the time MSN was being led by Brad Chase (Windows 95 fame) and Jon DeVaan, an engineer.  Thomas Koll was our VP for what was then the Network Service Provider Group (NSP).  We were introduced to the new organization at the Bellevue Convention Center.  Brad was the “showman” so he did most of the talking.  Jon was an engineer, did I already say that?  Brad talked about MSN as “The comeback kids”.  In order to have a “comeback”, you had to have achieved some measure of success in the past.   Something MSN had not really experienced. Everything Brad talked about was very consumer focused.  The NSP folks in the audience were Business Development people used to doing deals with large Telco’s and Network Equipment Providers.   We were like deer in headlights.  Speechless and confused.  It was apparent in the weeks following that Thomas pleaded with someone  to change this pending train wreck.  But I can say for at least 2 weeks I was a part of MSN.

At Microsoft MSN was its own entity doing its own thing.  This was highlighted more or less by Microsoft’s move into mobile phones.  The mobile phone folks believed in a world on windows.  The MSN folks just wanted to be a relative service, regardless of the platform.  The mobile world had a lot of different platforms, which Google, AOL and Yahoo played on all of them  – Symbian, Palm, RIM, Windows Mobile etc..They were offering services lile instant messaging, email and search.  Needless to say the MSN folks did this as well across all platforms.  The Windows mobile guys working with the wireless carriers did not like this one bit and only wanted those services available on the Microsoft based phones.  What happened then was the MSN mobile team  and Windows Mobile team each went into the carriers alone to strike their own deal.  The wireless carriers were confused as to whom they should be working with at Microsoft.  At the same time Bill Gates was out their talking about integrated innovation and better together.  Problem was internal politics (to this day) did not allow for that to happen.  On this issue I will be honest I was with the MSN folks, I did not ever understand the logic of the Windows Mobile groups thinking.  I am sure Microsoft is not unique in these type of political plays, but in the end the results are all the same, the customer loses.

When the internet changed yet again with services like Google and Yahoo! starting to dominate the Internet landscape it seemed ripe for change yet again in MSN land.  In particular like I highlighted in my earlier blog post on  Google, search was now the big game changing beast on the internet so Microsoft jumped on board and launched Live in 2005.  The search strategy was owned at Microsoft by MSN.  As is usually the case when Microsoft thinks too much the whole Live branding experience (Live Search, Live ID, Live Messenger etc..)  was a bust.  The common thing you heard was that Google was a verb and how do you compete with that.  As I have said before Microsoft is not good at sex and sizzle.  The whole Live strategy I found confusing the fact that it still lives on, even now after the launch of Bing, has made the brand even more confusing to me.  To muddle things even more according to Alexa Live search still ranks higher than Bing at #5 while Bing sits at #24.  I believe that is a big challenge when Microsoft changes strategies that before they compete effectively they have to undo what they have already marketed to consumers. 

I guess this brings me back to Sao Paulo and the new Live Messenger.  When I read it, it made me realize l do not know where the whole Live brand fits in overall to what Microsoft is trying to accomplish against Google.  I probably should since I worked at Microsoft for 18 years, maybe I did not pay close enough attention, but if I can’t make sense of it how can consumers??

In the end MSN has been through a lot in its now 15 year history at Microsoft.  They have had downs and they have had some slight ups.  Though those ups rarely happened around earnings season.  They continue to try new things and drive new revenue streams (advertising driven revenue).  They have seen every trend the internet has thrown their way and failed more times than I can remember (Anyone ever use Soapbox?  It was the YouTube killer…I am being serious).  They need an infusion of youth to help them think ahead of the curve.  Bringing in veteran’s of Microsoft leads to old ways of thinking.  They need a Sun Tzu moment where they change the playing field otherwise they will continue to follow.  Until they do they will…well they will just continue to be the same old MSN.  Or as Bruce Springsteen was sang about  MSN (not really it was his marriage) “One step forward, two steps back”.

Good Night and Good Luck

Hans Hoffmann May 6th 2010